#NEW the way out of wonderland.
The more it goes on, the more I am reminded of Alice in
Wonderland. Mysterious smoking Caterpillars, Cheshire cats and Mad Hatters. I
will leave folks to figure out who might be who in this scenario and who is the
Queen of Hearts…
Anyway so following on from Ben’s excellent feedback from the
EGM. We have an independent count in place for the votes. This is mind-blowingly
good news, the BOD have also had to confirm that the register is in such a mess
that it can’t even count the votes accurately.
A lot of side line investors kept repeating the mantra, that
EGM’s will rubber stamp it, the BOD will get their way they always do….This is
true nearly of the time, but is blatantly not true this time, with this EGM.
Going forward we need to find a way out of this wonderland. The
FCA/LSE does not like to deal with things “in the open”, instead a way forward
will be found which satisfies all parties to a degree and one that keeps
everything working. It won’t really care what happens as long as everything is
seen to be “working”.
A number of behind the scenes, happenings have occurred. We
have a stock that has now been suspended. We have a broker who has supported
and organised the placement and the 2bn none existent shares, who has a web
site that has been down for “maintenance” for days now. Whether you believe
this, in a world of 24hr hosting support, for a small and simple website is up
to you.
The only thing we need for a full house is some kind of
sanction against the nomad, or for their website to “go down for maintenance”.
The FCA/LSE will no doubt have contacted the nomad of #NEW
to discuss the situation of a failed and very public EGM. Having a company
suspended simple because it can’t hold an EGM vote is not good publicity for
the AIM exchange and I can’t see it happening for long.
So the FCA, LSE, Broker, BOD, Shareholders and Nomad all
need a way out of wonderland. For me the majority of the impact will fall on
the broker as they must have ultimate responsibility for the placing if it
fails.
An open offer will not meet any of the above criteria, it
will be challenged left, right and centre due to the mess of the registry. It will
take too long. It will not give enough shares to the broker to meet its
obligations. It is not in the best interest of the company given the current
offer price.
A new placement of shares at the maximum price of the last
10-20 days, would get a passed vote by the current shareholders imho(this is
needed for legal and “clean” reasons). It would put the shares in the hands of
the broker and enable the various counterparties, funds etc to settle, it would
allow the flip floppers to buy the shares they needed from the placing, solving
that problem. The share registry would be healthy again and the company would
have a large injection of cash to move forward.
The above of course would mean the broker losing out or
passing that loss on to the funds or its clients. It would also mean the flip
floppers potentially having to take a hit. The FCA and LSE could claim that the
markets have worked themselves out, without creating a new precedent.
Anyway just a thought and lots more to happen on this share,
I have no doubt. Keep a firm strategy in your mind, at the moment I am happy to
hold.
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