I’ve been a
fan of Savannah Resources since the company was first created, as such I have a
reasonable sized holding in the company.
Above was my
last blog at the start of the year.
For the
world’s largest company to consider a joint venture with a small minnow on AIM
is mind blowing. Its often talked about on the BB’s but is rarer than a hen
laying golden eggs.
Savannah
Resources have achieved this.
They have
only achieved this due to the very high professional standards the company
demonstrates and the expertise and experience of the management team and BOD
(including of course David Archer).
A few nicely
hidden bits of the agreement are that Rio can buyout Savannah, but only for a
multiple of all the money that SAV have already invested.
Scoping to
be completed hopefully 2015 earns SAV a 20% share in the combined JV.
A pre-FS
gives SAV 35%
A full DFS
gives SAV 51%.
The full JV
seems to be “Rio Tinto's affiliate of the
three areas suggests a combined potential contained ilmenite content of between
140 and 170 million tonnes with a further 10-15 million tonnes of contained
zircon and rutile.” This gives us a combined resource value of around $2billion
for the RIO licenses, with approx. a further $1bn (very conservative) from the
SAV licenses. Total (conservative values of $3bn).
The aim is produce a mine in the
near short term with approx. $200m of revenue’s per year. The cost of the mine
will be low and 50% of this cost will be paid by Rio Tinto. Along with this Rio
will buy everything that the min produces at commercially available prices…
One of the biggest barriers and
risks to "wannerbe" miners are the funding uncertainties and selling your
output when the mine is actively producing. Due to this many miners have DFS’s
for their exploration areas which are mothballed.
The current JV effectively
cancels out these risks. Any mine where 50% of the costs are being picked up by
the world’s largest mining company will not struggle to get project finance.
Today’s announcement really does
confirm that Savanah is on course to become a mid-cap producer with a £100m+
Mcap. I’ve already said that I held in 2013 – all the way through 2014 and will
still be holding in 2016.
I’ll leave the sentiment
plays-flip flopping and P&D’s to others.
Quality Shines though and even
if it’s not seen by all PI’s has certainly been seen by Rio Tinto.
Well Done.
Iceberg many thanks for posting your incisive comments. I value your comments as a LTH and supporter.
ReplyDeleteHappy days are a coming